Political Economy Event Library

Political economy events

Official announcements and verifiable reporting are organised as research records connecting countries, topics, indicators and projects. Event coding is an index and interpretive aid, not a prediction or causal judgement.

Original event summaries, topics, actor names and source names remain in Chinese and are explicitly marked as untranslated. Search may require original Chinese terms. No political summary is automatically translated.

Event Records

Verified events

Newest first

2026-10-11

Poland

Regional cooperation

Polish security services report alleged assassination plot against PM Tusk

The report says Polish security services reported an alleged plot targeting PM Tusk and the defence minister, prompting an emergency meeting. Specific individuals, locations and timing were not disclosed.

Investigations, allegations and procedural measures are not convictions. Individual responsibility and case outcomes are not prejudged.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Notes from Poland
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-10

Czechia

Elections

Polls close in Czech municipal, Senate elections

The report says voting in Czech municipal elections and the first round for 27 Senate seats closed on October 10, with Senate run-offs to follow.

This records only the reported procedural stage. Subsequent votes, government formation and election results are not supplied, and canonical election datasets are not expanded.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Radio Prague International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-09

Romania

Macroeconomy

The National Bank of Romanian maintains reference interest rate

The report says Romania's central bank held its policy rate at 6.5%, lending facility at 7.5% and deposit facility at 5.5%.

This is the institution's assessment or decision. It does not replace this platform's research gates or support additional causal interpretations.

Research fields
Event actors
National Bank of Romania (took the rate decision)
Source publisher
Radio Romania International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-09

Slovenia

Macroeconomy

Prime Minister Janez Janša: Slovenia needs a Development Act

The government bulletin says Janša advocated a Development Act in an interview and discussed demographics, public-service staffing and referendum procedures.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

经济Event backgroundGOV.SI ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
GOV.SI
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
High
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-09

Slovakia

Energy

Sakova: Slovakia Has Secured Contracts and Sufficient Gas Supplies for Winter

The report quotes Saková describing winter gas-supply arrangements, a Gazprom contract running to September 2027 and supplementary procurement.

This records the actor's public position, not an independently established finding or forecast by this platform.

Research fields
Event actors
Saková (made the statement, as reported by TASR); Gazprom (contract counterparty named in the statement)
Source publisher
TASR
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-08

Czechia

Regional cooperation

Czechia responds to EU concerns over PM Babiš's conflict of interest

The report says Czechia responded to Commission concerns about Babiš's conflict of interest and described safeguards. The previously suspended reimbursements remained unresolved.

This is the institution's assessment or decision. It does not replace this platform's research gates or support additional causal interpretations.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Radio Prague International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-08

Germany

Regional cooperation

British prime minister in Berlin: fighter jet cooperation offered

The report says British PM Burnham discussed possible German participation in the UK–Japan–Italy GCAP fighter programme during a Berlin visit.

Meetings and cooperation discussions are distinct from binding agreements, disbursed funding or completed projects. No long-term political or economic effect is inferred.

政治Event backgroundZDFheute ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
ZDFheute
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-08

Hungary

Regional cooperation

Ukrainian FM thanks Hungary for green light on previously blocked steps in EU accession talks

Telex reports that Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha thanked Hungary for supporting previously blocked steps in EU accession talks and referred to committee progress on minority-related legislation.

Negotiating steps and committee progress do not mean accession is complete or that all relevant legislation has entered into force.

欧盟Event backgroundTelex ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Telex
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-08

Serbia

Macroeconomy

NBS decides not to change key policy rate

The report says Serbia's central bank held its key rate at 5.75%, deposit facility at 4.5% and lending facility at 7.0%.

This is the institution's assessment or decision. It does not replace this platform's research gates or support additional causal interpretations.

经济Event backgroundN1 ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
N1
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Austria

Regional cooperation

SPÖ power struggle: Zeiler declares his support for Marterbauer

The report says Zeiler publicly supported Marterbauer in discussions about SPÖ leadership.

This records the actor's public position, not an independently established finding or forecast by this platform.

政治Event backgroundKurier ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Kurier
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Czechia

Regional cooperation

Czechia receives first €309 million from EU SAFE defence fund

The report says Czechia received an initial €309 million SAFE loan payment, approximately 15% of a €2 billion loan allocation.

Requests, approvals and disbursements are distinct. Loans and grants are not interchangeable, and financing arrangements do not establish project completion.

Research fields
Event actors
Czechia (borrower); EU SAFE defence loan instrument (source of the funds)
Source publisher
Radio Prague International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Germany

Relations with China

Goods transporter: takeover by Chinese shipping company prohibited

The report says Germany's government blocked COSCO's proposed acquisition of 80% of Zippel on security grounds, with a prohibition notice to follow.

This records the announced measure and its scope. Announcement or procurement contracting is not statistical verification of its effects.

对华经贸Event backgroundZDFheute ↗
Research fields
Event actors
German government (blocked the acquisition); COSCO (proposed acquirer); Zippel (target company)
Source publisher
ZDFheute
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Croatia

Macroeconomy

20% Increase on Croatian Minimum Wage Sought to Combat Inflation

The report says the Construction Workers' Union requested an increase in the 2027 minimum monthly wage from €1,050 to €1,250 gross, approximately 20%.

This is a union demand, not an enacted wage level. Gross amounts and the report's net-pay estimates are distinct.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Total Croatia News
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Hungary

Energy

Member of group that planted explosives near gas pipeline between Serbia and Hungary the week before elections convicted

Telex reports that a Subotica court in Serbia sentenced a defendant to one year of house arrest under a plea agreement for transporting explosives by drone. The October report concerns court proceedings in September.

Publication and court dates are distinct. An individual judgment does not establish every activity of a group or broader intelligence attribution.

能源Event backgroundTelex ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Telex
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Serbia

Regional cooperation

Kos: Serbia not front runner for EU membership

The report quotes Kos saying Serbia was not among accession frontrunners and calling for concrete action on strategic and foreign-policy alignment.

This records the actor's public position, not an independently established finding or forecast by this platform.

欧盟Event backgroundN1 ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
N1
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-07

Slovakia

Fiscal policy

Budget27: Kamenicky: Cabinet's Budget Draft Both Good News and Compromise

The report says Finance Minister Kamenický presented the 2027 budget draft to Parliament and described it as a compromise.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

经济Event backgroundTASR ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
TASR
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-06

Germany

Regional cooperation

BND scandal: "Then we would have a real worst-case disaster"

The report says former intelligence chief Hanning was arrested over suspected disclosure of classified information and related treason allegations.

Investigations, allegations and procedural measures are not convictions. Individual responsibility and case outcomes are not prejudged.

政治Event backgroundZDFheute ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
ZDFheute
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-06

Poland

Regional cooperation

Poland detains senior managers from state oil giant Orlen over pre-election fuel price cuts

The report says five Orlen managers were detained and charged in a case concerning 2023 fuel pricing. The reported loss amount is prosecutors' estimate.

Investigations, allegations and procedural measures are not convictions. Individual responsibility and case outcomes are not prejudged.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Notes from Poland
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-06

Poland

Regional cooperation

Sweden to deploy Patriot air defence systems to Poland

The report says Sweden announced plans to deploy Patriot air-defence systems and approximately 100 personnel to Rzeszów later in 2026.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Notes from Poland
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-06

Romania

Regional cooperation

The fourth designated prime minister

The report says Luca Niculescu was nominated as prime minister-designate, the fourth candidate in the current political process.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Radio Romania International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-05

Austria

Elections

Coalition between "highly nervous" and snap elections

The report describes disputes over Austria's governing coalition and SPÖ leadership, discussing coalition tensions and the possibility of early elections.

This records the actor's public position, not an independently established finding or forecast by this platform.

政治Event backgroundKurier ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Kurier
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-05

Romania

Macroeconomy

S&P keeps Romania’s sovereign rating in place

The report says S&P maintained Romania's BBB- sovereign rating and negative outlook, retaining investment-grade status.

This is the institution's assessment or decision. It does not replace this platform's research gates or support additional causal interpretations.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Radio Romania International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-05

Serbia

Elections

Election commission approves polling stations abroad

The report says the electoral commission approved overseas polling arrangements. The foreign ministry proposed 93 stations, with voting scheduled on Serbian time.

This records only the reported procedural stage. Subsequent votes, government formation and election results are not supplied, and canonical election datasets are not expanded.

政治Event backgroundN1 ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
N1
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-05

Slovenia

Regional cooperation

Prime Minister Janez Janša with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on cooperation, migration and European challenges

The government bulletin says Janša and Meloni discussed bilateral cooperation, migration, energy, defence and European affairs.

Meetings and cooperation discussions are distinct from binding agreements, disbursed funding or completed projects. No long-term political or economic effect is inferred.

区域Event backgroundGOV.SI ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
GOV.SI
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
High
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-05

Slovakia

Fiscal policy

Fico: Next Year's Budget Brings No New Taxes or Levies

The report quotes Fico saying the cabinet-approved 2027 budget draft contains no new taxes or levies. Parliamentary consideration remains necessary.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

经济Event backgroundTASR ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
TASR
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-04

Slovenia

Fiscal policy

Government approves state budgets for the next two years

The government bulletin says the cabinet approved state budget proposals for the next two years within the medium-term fiscal framework, requiring parliamentary consideration.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

经济Event backgroundGOV.SI ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
GOV.SI
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
High
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-03

Poland

Energy

Poland updates nuclear strategy with delays to launch of first two plants

The report says Poland's revised nuclear strategy moves the first plant's target start from 2033 to 2036 and the second from 2039 to 2040.

This is a proposal, plan or expected arrangement, not confirmation of full enactment, implementation or the anticipated effects.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Notes from Poland
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-03

Slovenia

Fiscal policy

Agriculture and Cohesion as central priorities in the next European budget

The government bulletin says 17 heads of government called in a joint letter for agriculture and cohesion to be central to the next EU budget.

This records the actor's public position, not an independently established finding or forecast by this platform.

欧盟Event backgroundGOV.SI ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
GOV.SI
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
High
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-03

Slovakia

Regional cooperation

President: Increasing Military Spending Not Way to Ease Tensions

The report quotes President Pellegrini saying at a Dukla commemoration that increased military spending was not a way to ease tensions.

This records the actor's public position, not an independently established finding or forecast by this platform.

政治Event backgroundTASR ↗
Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
TASR
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

2026-10-02

Czechia

Elections

Babiš government survives second no-confidence vote

The report says a no-confidence motion against the Babiš government received 83 votes, below the required 101, leaving the government in office.

This records only the reported procedural stage. Subsequent votes, government formation and election results are not supplied, and canonical election datasets are not expanded.

Research fields
Event actors
Not separately coded
Source publisher
Radio Prague International
Direction
Neutral
Confidence
Medium
Affected indicators
Pending coding

Direction and confidence are research codes, not forecasts or causal judgements. Full raw records are available in the shared research package.

Structural samples (hidden by default; excluded from analysis)

Structural samples are retained only in raw exports and are excluded from the public event stream, models and scenario scores.