2026-10-11 · Poland
Central Europe Political Atlas · v2.0 VAR Dynamic-Response Publication-Gate Consolidation
A research atlas of Central European political economy
Traceable official data, regional facts and transparent model boundaries across Austria, Croatia, Czechia, Germany, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia and Slovenia.
Interactive Research Map
Political-economy research across ten countries
Select a country to inspect macroeconomic observations, then open its profile or the regional map.
Country outlines: simplified from geoBoundaries (www.geoboundaries.org). Poland, Serbia, Slovakia, Croatia: © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL 1.0; Austria: BEV, CC BY-SA 2.0; Czechia, Romania, Slovenia: CC BY 4.0; Germany: © BKG, dl-de/by-2-0; Hungary: CC0. Boundary licences
Latest verified events
Original-language records (Chinese; untranslated). Events do not enter model estimates.
Latest event: · News batch through: · Historical store record updated:
2026-10-10 · Czechia
2026-10-09 · Slovakia
2026-10-09 · Romania
2026-10-09 · Slovenia
2026-10-08 · Hungary
Question-first: I have a substantive research question.
Research Workspaces
Begin with a substantive question, discover existing evidence and continue into the established tools. No answers, new estimates or findings are generated here.
Inflation & Monetary Policy
Inspect inflation, interest-rate and real-economy trajectories side by side, distinguishing observed rates, identified shocks and descriptive event context.
Countries: Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, Germany, Romania, Slovenia, Serbia, Austria, Croatia
Available coverage: 2000–2026-08. Observed endpoints across relevant evidence; not coverage of every indicator.
Evidence types: official indicators, verified events, regional records and existing methods.
Reduced-form VAR retains existing coefficient estimation only; formal dynamic-response and IRF publication are unavailable.
Trade Structure & External Exposure
Inspect exports, imports, partner composition and concentration, then check definitions in the trade network and original sources.
Countries: Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, Germany, Romania, Slovenia, Serbia, Austria, Croatia
Available coverage: 2000–2025. Observed endpoints across relevant evidence; not coverage of every indicator.
Evidence types: official indicators, verified events, regional records and existing methods.
Concentration is a descriptive trade measure, not an automatic inference of political dependency or geopolitical judgments. Project locations are not identified economic effects.
Fiscal & Macroeconomic Conditions
Inspect the time evolution and comparable definitions of balances, debt, growth and employment without ranking countries.
Countries: Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, Germany, Romania, Slovenia, Serbia, Austria, Croatia
Available coverage: 2000–2025. Observed endpoints across relevant evidence; not coverage of every indicator.
Evidence types: official indicators, verified events, regional records and existing methods.
Composite indicators are transparently constructed scores, not objective national-performance rankings. Fixed-effects association is not causal identification; missing or non-comparable annual observations remain excluded.
Regional Development & Divergence
Inspect regional population, output and labour-market distributions within their original classifications and geography vintages using the existing regional map.
Countries: Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, Germany, Romania, Slovenia, Serbia, Austria, Croatia
Available coverage: 2000–2025. Observed endpoints across relevant evidence; not coverage of every indicator.
Evidence types: official indicators, verified events, regional records and existing methods.
Preserve geography vintages and do not join incompatible historical boundaries. Serbia NSTJ is not relabelled as EU NUTS. Choropleth colours show factual measures, not development scores.
Workspaces
Question-first: I have a substantive research question.
Countries
Ten country profiles with official observations and source links.
Data Explorer
Compare observations, inspect provenance and export descriptive research snapshots.
Regional map
Explore spatial facts without turning missing observations into zeros.
Models
Review model inputs, outputs, availability and limits.
Conditional scenarios
Inspect explicit assumptions, not forecasts or causal estimates.
Events
Structured events and links to original reporting.
Methodology
Understand comparability, data status and the limits of formal inference.
Evidence and interpretation
Descriptive comparisons do not identify causal effects. Conditional scenarios are assumption-based illustrations, not predictions. VAR coefficient estimation is available, but the finite-sample residual publication gate is not validated; formal dynamic responses and impulse response functions are unavailable. LP and Panel LP remain subject to their existing inference and sample limitations.
Read the method boundaries