{
  "schema_version": "identified-shock-source-candidates-v1.6",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-01",
  "record_count": 2,
  "records": [
    {
      "candidate_id": "ecb_ea_mpd",
      "name": "Euro Area Monetary Policy Event-Study Database (EA-MPD)",
      "source_institution": "European Central Bank",
      "source_url": "https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/annex/Dataset_EA-MPD.xlsx",
      "methodology_url": "https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2281~3303fd281b.en.pdf",
      "authors": [
        "Carlo Altavilla",
        "Luca Brugnolini",
        "Refet S. Gürkaynak",
        "Roberto Motto",
        "Giuseppe Ragusa"
      ],
      "dataset_type": "official ECB research dataset; event-level high-frequency/intraday surprise information",
      "coverage_scope": "euro_area_policy_announcements",
      "identification_status": "external_innovation_proxy",
      "required_audits": [
        "variable-definition",
        "information-effect",
        "event-window",
        "aggregation policy",
        "coverage",
        "license",
        "vintage",
        "country applicability"
      ],
      "croatia_interpretation": "Euro-area surprise exposure can apply only after euro adoption unless a separate research design justifies earlier external spillover use.",
      "official_annex_status": "acquired_and_schema_audited",
      "acquisition_status": "acquired",
      "field_audit_status": "audited",
      "checksum": "f417fb861a305e3cbb871a7571c4899ba6bca003d9e087024d2f3f0744426cef",
      "information_effect_status": "separated_under_jk_framework",
      "redistribution_status": "raw_workbook_excluded_from_public_package",
      "information_effect_validation": "Author-reference median decomposition passed; raw OIS proxy remains separately classified."
    },
    {
      "candidate_id": "ecb_ea_empd",
      "name": "Euro Area Extended Monetary Policy Event-Study Database (EA-EMPD)",
      "source_institution": "European Central Bank",
      "source_url": "https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp3157-annex-EA-EMPD~8b94679d77.en.xlsx",
      "methodology_url": "https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp3157~f5789c7b8a.en.pdf",
      "authors": [
        "Carlo Altavilla",
        "Refet S. Gürkaynak",
        "Luc Laeven",
        "Thilo Kind"
      ],
      "dataset_type": "official ECB research annex; official decisions and policymaker speeches",
      "official_annex_status": "acquired_and_schema_audited",
      "coverage_scope": "euro_area_decisions_and_policy_speeches",
      "identification_status": "external_innovation_proxy",
      "required_audits": [
        "annex download",
        "variable-definition",
        "information-effect",
        "event-window",
        "aggregation policy",
        "coverage",
        "license",
        "revision policy",
        "country applicability"
      ],
      "croatia_interpretation": "Country treatment must distinguish euro-area membership from external spillover exposure and preserve event-date applicability.",
      "acquisition_status": "acquired",
      "field_audit_status": "audited",
      "checksum": "b4bdc1b90b9842227e74ff013eb79c71edce5dff9da1d5e02ac75b5d45c5e129",
      "information_effect_status": "separated_under_jk_framework",
      "redistribution_status": "raw_workbook_excluded_from_public_package",
      "information_effect_validation": "Author-reference median decomposition passed; raw OIS proxy remains separately classified."
    }
  ],
  "boundary": "Official acquisition and schema audit establish provenance, not automatic causal identification."
}